Market Monitor – 15 July 2022
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Market Monitor – 15 July 2022

Global stock markets have suffered heavy losses this week due to persistently high inflation and concerns about weak company earnings. With year-on-year price rises in the US hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, the prospect of central bankers in America raising interest rates by a significant amount later this month seems increasingly likely.

The big question for investors in recent weeks has been whether the ongoing tightening of monetary policy around the world will lead to a recession later in 2022. The early signs from second-quarter company earnings reports this week have not been positive: US banks JP Morgan Chase and Morgan Stanley both declared sharp falls in profits and warned of an economic slowdown ahead.
News of fresh outbreaks of the Omicron Covid-19 variant in China added to the gloom, despite the end of lockdowns in Shanghai and Beijing last month raising hopes that a revitalised Chinese economy could boost global growth. But the prospect of further restrictions in the second half of the year is another major setback. Meanwhile, recession fears helped drive oil and commodities prices lower this week, a move that could help to inflationary pressures further down the line.

US markets

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended trading on Thursday 14 July 2.3% down for the week so far, with the S&P 500 losing 2.8%. Confidence among small businesses in the US fell to its lowest level in nearly a decade, latest data showed – a strong indication that the American economy is on the verge of a downturn.

Europe

In the UK, the FTSE 100 closed on Thursday 2.2% down for the week, with the index hit by falls in energy and mining stocks. Retail spending in Britain fell for the third successive month, figures showed, as consumer confidence slumped in the face of a cost-of-living crisis. However, UK GDP surprised analysts with a 0.5% increase in May, driven by a rise in summer holiday bookings.
In Frankfurt, the DAX index ended Thursday’s session down 3.8% for the week, while France’s CAC 40 lost 2%. Eurozone companies have been badly hit by weakness in the single currency, with the euro approaching parity with the resurgent dollar – terrible news for energy-intensive businesses whose oil and gas bills are priced in dollars. In Italy, the apparent collapse of Mario Draghi’s government has only added to European investors’ woes.

Asia

In Asia, the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong slumped 4.5% this week as Beijing introduced new lockdowns in response to another Covid-19 wave. The virulence of the Omicron variant has severely tested China’s zero-Covid policy and rolling restrictions have significantly hampered economic activity this year.


Japan’s Nikkei 225 index of leading shares bucked the downward trend to report a 0.5% gain by Thursday’s close. Victory for the ruling party in national elections last weekend was welcomed by investors, while the strong dollar has also helped keep the value of Japanese multinationals high.

June 3
June 9
Change (%)
FTSE 100
7196.2
7039.8
-2.2
FTSE All-share
3961.3
3874.7
-2.2
S&P 500
3899.4
3790.4
-2.8
Dow Jones
31338.2
30630.2
-2.3
DAX
13015.2
12519.7
-3.8
CAC 40
6033.1
5915.4
-2.0
ACWI
608.6
588.9
-3.2
Hong Kong Hang Seng
21725.8
20751.2
-4.5
Nikkei 225
26517.2
26643.4
0.5

Note: all market data contained within the article is sourced from Bloomberg unless stated otherwise, as at 15 July 2022.

17 July 2022
Jim Griffin
Jim Griffin
Investment Content Manager
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Market Monitor – 15 July 2022

1 Manufacturers’ Goods Index, February, United States Census Bureau, 4/4/2022.
2 Oil giant Shell to take £3.8bn hit by leaving Russia, bbc.co.uk, 7/4/2022.

Important information

For marketing purposes.

This document is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered representative of any particular investment. This should not be considered an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments, or to provide investment advice or services. Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal. Your capital is at risk.  Market risk may affect a single issuer, sector of the economy, industry or the market as a whole. The value of investments is not guaranteed, and therefore an investor may not get back the amount invested. International investing involves certain risks and volatility due to potential political, economic or currency fluctuations and different financial and accounting standards. The securities included herein are for illustrative purposes only, subject to change and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell. Securities discussed may or may not prove profitable. The views expressed are as of the date given, may change as market or other conditions change and may differ from views expressed by other Columbia Threadneedle Investments (Columbia Threadneedle) associates or affiliates. Actual investments or investment decisions made by Columbia Threadneedle and its affiliates, whether for its own account or on behalf of clients, may not necessarily reflect the views expressed. This information is not intended to provide investment advice and does not take into consideration individual investor circumstances. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor’s specific financial needs, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Asset classes described may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and no forecast should be considered a guarantee either. Information and opinions provided by third parties have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This document and its contents have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority.

In the UK: issued by Threadneedle Asset Management Limited, registered in England and Wales, No. 573204. Registered Office: Cannon Place, 78 Cannon Street, London EC4N 6AG. Authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority.

In Singapore: Issued by Threadneedle Investments Singapore (Pte.) Limited, 3 Killiney Road, #07-07, Winsland House 1, Singapore 239519, which is regulated in Singapore by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289). Registration number: 201101559W. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

In Hong Kong: Issued by Threadneedle Portfolio Services Hong Kong Limited 天利投資管理香港有限公司. Unit 3004, Two Exchange Square, 8 Cownnaught Place, Hong Kong, which is licensed by the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) to conduct Type 1 regulated activities (CE:AQA779). Registered in Hong Kong under the Companies Ordinance (Chapter 622), No. 1173058.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies.

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Important information

For marketing purposes.

This document is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered representative of any particular investment. This should not be considered an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments, or to provide investment advice or services. Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal. Your capital is at risk.  Market risk may affect a single issuer, sector of the economy, industry or the market as a whole. The value of investments is not guaranteed, and therefore an investor may not get back the amount invested. International investing involves certain risks and volatility due to potential political, economic or currency fluctuations and different financial and accounting standards. The securities included herein are for illustrative purposes only, subject to change and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell. Securities discussed may or may not prove profitable. The views expressed are as of the date given, may change as market or other conditions change and may differ from views expressed by other Columbia Threadneedle Investments (Columbia Threadneedle) associates or affiliates. Actual investments or investment decisions made by Columbia Threadneedle and its affiliates, whether for its own account or on behalf of clients, may not necessarily reflect the views expressed. This information is not intended to provide investment advice and does not take into consideration individual investor circumstances. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor’s specific financial needs, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Asset classes described may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and no forecast should be considered a guarantee either. Information and opinions provided by third parties have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This document and its contents have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority.

In the UK: issued by Threadneedle Asset Management Limited, registered in England and Wales, No. 573204. Registered Office: Cannon Place, 78 Cannon Street, London EC4N 6AG. Authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority.

In Singapore: Issued by Threadneedle Investments Singapore (Pte.) Limited, 3 Killiney Road, #07-07, Winsland House 1, Singapore 239519, which is regulated in Singapore by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289). Registration number: 201101559W. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

In Hong Kong: Issued by Threadneedle Portfolio Services Hong Kong Limited 天利投資管理香港有限公司. Unit 3004, Two Exchange Square, 8 Cownnaught Place, Hong Kong, which is licensed by the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) to conduct Type 1 regulated activities (CE:AQA779). Registered in Hong Kong under the Companies Ordinance (Chapter 622), No. 1173058.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies.

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