A difficult year of transition
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A difficult year of transition

Higher interest rates have been the primary challenge of the current year. Yet, while they have had clear consequences, the portfolio has delivered a resilient performance as have the underlying companies and the economy as a whole. We therefore look forward to next year, the 25th anniversary of the launch of CT Private Equity Trust, with optimism.

In the wider economy, the consequences of higher rates have been felt by individual businesses. In turn, these have impacted the returns of the portfolio. However, even after accounting for all these factors, the portfolio delivered a positive total return of 0.9% at the net asset level for the first nine months of 2023. The dividend was increased by 10.5% compared to the same period of 2022.
This robust investment performance reflects the resilience of the underlying companies and the wider economy. While growth has faltered across world, the main investment areas of the UK, Europe and the US have largely avoided recession. The management teams, of our investment holdings, have generally negotiated the new challenges well, having already traded successfully through Covid, as well as the turmoil of 2022.
With the largest two sectors in our portfolio being health care (25.2%) and IT (19.8%), direct exposure to the ‘under-pressure’ consumer has been limited. In any case, most companies had plans in place that assumed some normalisation of interest rates from their record lows, even if the pace of the adjustment took most forecasters by surprise. While the Bank of England’s headline rate has been hiked from 0.1% to 5.25%, for businesses the actual interest rate cost they incur is closer to a doubling from 4-5% to 9-10%.
The portfolio is also a net payer of interest. As at 30 September 2023 the company has net debt of £74.5 million, equivalent to a gearing level of 12.8%. Higher interest payments directly reduce returns, just as higher interest payments reduce the profits of the underlying companies. They can also reduce the value of realisations, as asset prices are linked to both short- and long-term interest rates, which have also risen sharply.
With interest rates now close to or at their peak, the impact of higher rates has mostly been priced into the portfolio’s assets. While a flat performance in the year-to-date contrasts to the portfolio’s track record of compounding double-digit returns, it is arguably good progress in a difficult year of transition.

Opportunities in a buyers’ market

There has been a reduction in realisations, with a 30% decline compared to the boom year of 2022. While this reflects the higher cost and reduced availability of finance, the average uplift on those deals, compared to the immediately preceding valuation, was still 30% (against 36% in 2022).
But we have turned this shift to a buyers’ market to our advantage. We made £98.7m of new investments in the first nine months of the year, up 40% on the same period of 2022. Overall, while in the first three quarters of 2022 realisations outweighed new investments for the portfolio, we have been net investors this year, funded by an increase in debt and backed by loan agreements in place and the conservative management of undrawn commitments.
New co-investments made in 2023 include the following companies:

Utimaco is one of the world’s leading providers of security and data management solutions in regulated and critical infrastructure. Utimaco has a c.5-10% global market share in Information Security. Growth in its core markets is driven by growing cybercrime costs, an increase in confidential data flows and further tightening of regulation and compliance. We had the opportunity to take a stake at an attractive price.

Cyclomedia has developed patented vehicle-mounted camera systems which it uses to collect street level data for clients such as local authorities. These easily-updated virtual maps are a labour- and cost-efficient method of monitoring public infrastructure, health & safety and even taxation values. Cyclomedia has proprietary hardware which has been developed over decades and a significant library of historic data, both of which are valued by its clients.

CARDO Group is a repair & maintenance business for the UK social housing sector. The group also provides major refurbishments and retrofits with a focus on projects required by stringent health & safety and energy efficiency regulations. Despite being in the construction industry, it has a defensive financial profile with long-term contracts, high returns on capital and cash generation. It is a leading regional player in a highly fragmented market with multiple growth levers including geographic expansion, product range extension and consolidation. The management team is supported by a general partner with proven experience in energy transition and in executing add-on acquisitions.

OneTouch is an end-to-end management platform for the healthcare industry. Its fully integrated software solutions allows care providers to monitor and communicate all elements of care provision, including keeping the relatives of patients informed. OneTouch is the leader in the large social care software market in the UK & Ireland, which is growing at 16% per annum due to positive demographic and regulatory drivers. There is clear potential for consolidation in a fragmented market, as well as international expansion.

15 December 2023
Hamish Mair
Hamish Mair, BSc, MBA, ASIP
Managing Director and Head of Private Equity
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A difficult year of transition

Risk Disclaimer

The value of an investment is dependent on the supply and demand for the shares of the Investment Trust rather than its underlying assets. The value of an investment will not be the same as the value of the Investment Trust’s underlying assets.

 

Views and opinions have been arrived at by Columbia Threadneedle Investments and should not be considered to be a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any companies that may be mentioned.

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Risk Disclaimer

The value of an investment is dependent on the supply and demand for the shares of the Investment Trust rather than its underlying assets. The value of an investment will not be the same as the value of the Investment Trust’s underlying assets.

 

Views and opinions have been arrived at by Columbia Threadneedle Investments and should not be considered to be a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any companies that may be mentioned.

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